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Monday, June 19, 2023

2023 Cereal Rust Risk Report (June 7-13, 2023)

The latest Prairie wind trajectory cereal rust risk report is available for download now at the following link: June 7-13, 2023 report.  

As of the period of June 7-13, 2023 the overall Prairie cereal rust risk assessment and need for in-crop scouting is as follows: 


Pacific Northwest – There was a lower number of reverse wind trajectories that passed over the PNW region and into the Prairies versus May 31-June 6.  Given this, and limited stripe rust development in the PNW and generally dry western Prairie conditions especially in western regions, as of June 13, 2023 the risk of stripe rust appearance from the PNW is low and scouting for this disease in the Prairie region is generally not urgent.




Texas-Oklahoma corridor – Given limited leaf, stem, stripe and crown rust development in this corridor, and that most crops are approaching maturity or are being harvested, as of June 13, 2023 the risk of stem, leaf, stripe, and crown rust appearance from the Texas-Oklahoma corridor is generally limited and scouting for these diseases in the Prairie region is not urgent. 



Kansas-Nebraska corridor – Given a lower number of wind trajectories from this region, and generally limited leaf, stem, stripe and crown rust development in this corridor, as of June 13, 2023 the risk of stem, leaf, stripe, and crown rust appearance from the Kansas-Nebraska corridor is generally low and scouting for these diseases in the Prairies is not urgent.  However, recent reports of increasing levels of stripe rust in NW and west central Kansas, and the continued observation of stem rust in Kansas commercial fields may represent an emerging concern. These observations are a concern, especially for the central to eastern Prairie regions with rainfall over the last 2-4 days. Farmers and consultants in the central-eastern Prairies should consider keeping an eye out for stripe and stem rust development, especially in fields planted to susceptible varieties.