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Cereal Rust Risk

Please note the PCDMN Blog is no longer active and has been transitioned to our new PCDMN website 

Please now refer to our new PCDMN website for timely field crop disease updates and associated information


Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) and Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) have been working together to study the potential of trajectories for monitoring insect movements since the late 1990s. Trajectory models are used to deliver an early-warning system for the origin and destination of migratory invasive species, such as diamondback moth.  In addition, plant pathologists have shown that trajectories can assist with the prediction of plant disease infestations and are also beginning to utilize these same data. We receive two types of model output from ECCC: reverse trajectories and forward trajectories.

Read an OVERVIEW describing the background, application, and collaborative generation of these wind trajectory reports in relation to cereal rust risk and wind trajectories from the USA.

Click the hyperlink below to access a downloadable PDF.



PCDMN 2023 Cereal Rust Risk Reports



PCDMN 2022 Cereal Rust Risk Reports

May 31-June 6, 2022 (Report 3)